Description

This analysis provides a forecast of ENS prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-04-27 10.944820 12.238495 13.690271 15.453627 17.555860 20.005371 23.110658
2025-05-04 8.985954 10.557955 12.454826 14.953884 18.224857 22.458480 28.525914
2025-05-11 8.170084 9.935094 12.177162 15.313420 19.724967 25.943684 35.854997
2025-05-18 7.387505 9.207331 11.606954 15.117498 20.338711 28.223795 41.981670
2025-05-25 6.786486 8.629750 11.136250 14.944514 20.889291 30.440468 48.589731
2025-06-01 6.334554 8.197985 10.801857 14.895455 21.578151 32.969048 56.543078
2025-06-08 5.868049 7.698095 10.310112 14.529035 21.670273 34.457081 62.957784
2025-06-15 5.557704 7.391918 10.067109 14.510726 22.325451 37.085886 72.867095
2025-06-22 5.145404 6.904536 9.506488 13.908723 21.851140 37.411442 77.453103
2025-06-29 4.766989 6.442594 8.949287 13.254511 21.187651 37.214920 80.647433
2025-07-06 4.478415 6.098049 8.550109 12.829127 20.894691 37.745402 86.141904
2025-07-13 4.561517 6.321788 9.063408 14.034994 23.943229 46.482794 122.150337
2025-07-20 4.452249 6.247794 9.101443 14.422402 25.476282 52.335090 155.056753
2025-07-27 4.195621 5.925667 8.704186 13.961347 25.127137 53.255153 169.255365
2025-08-03 4.099032 5.853183 8.721539 14.288050 26.581245 59.639653 217.175293
2025-08-10 3.927250 5.647738 8.494034 14.110319 26.840300 62.642325 252.320905
2025-08-17 3.772685 5.461972 8.287807 13.953361 27.123984 65.854706 295.287579
2025-08-24 3.647004 5.317308 8.144215 13.908833 27.680055 70.221166 357.611509
2025-08-31 3.488477 5.109635 7.874475 13.576074 27.447397 71.764609 401.092140
2025-09-07 3.385556 4.991140 7.759249 13.559437 28.046227 76.680786 496.384848
2025-09-14 3.216653 4.752750 7.410998 13.011994 27.130850 75.376443 515.863545
2025-09-21 3.050651 4.513635 7.051168 12.416039 26.016637 73.004035 517.637471
2025-09-28 2.921418 4.333561 6.793516 12.027943 25.441610 72.767048 553.284550